Business Dynamics. Inklusiv CD

€ 212,49
Bisher € 224,17
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Februar 2000



The leading authority on system dynamics explains this approach to organizational problem solving, emphasizing simulation models to understand issues such as fluctuating sales, market growth and stagnation, the reliability . of forecasts and the rationality of business decision-making. The CD includes modeling software from Vensim, ithink, and PowerSim.


<H1> Introduction
Part I.Perspective and Process
1.Learning In and About Complex Systems
2.System Dynamics In Action
3.The Modeling Process
4.Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II.Tools for Systems Thinking
5.Causal Loop Diagrams
6.Stocks and Flows
7.Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8.Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III.The Dynamics of Growth
9.S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV.Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V.Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future Appendix A: Numerical Integration Appendix B: Noise References Index


John Sterman (Lexington, MA) teaches at the Sloan School of Management and direct MIT's System Dynamics Group.
EAN: 9780072389159
ISBN: 007238915X
Untertitel: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. With CD-ROM. Sprache: Englisch.
Verlag: McGraw-Hill Education Ltd
Erscheinungsdatum: Februar 2000
Seitenanzahl: 982 Seiten
Format: gebunden
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